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How we estimate percentiles: Kansas high school
A clear explanation of the data and the method, so you can judge how much weight to give the numbers.
What the data is
Every number here comes from the Kansas State Department of Education (KSDE) results for the Kansas Assessment Program (KAP): grade 10 ELA, grade 10 Math and grade 11 Science, for 2018, 2019 and 2021 to 2026 (grade 11 Science has no 2025 results, see below). For each school, district and the state, KSDE reports:
- the percentage of students in each performance level, in KSDE’s download files, and
- the real number of students tested, on KSDE’s report-card site, which from 2022 also shows the number of students in each level. We use those counts, and check that they match the download file’s percentages for every school, district and the state.
A county’s figures add up the actual students of its own schools. KSDE’s files do not include each group’s average score, so the average shown is estimated from how the students split across the levels.
Who is counted
ELA and Math: the grade 10 KAP tests, taken by 10th graders. Science: the grade 11 KAP science test, taken by 11th graders. Each year counts the students who took that test that spring. Students with the most significant cognitive disabilities (about 1 in 100) take a separate alternate test and are not included, and English learners in their first year in a U.S. school take Math and Science but not ELA.
The statewide figures cover public schools. Accredited private schools that give the KAP, such as Catholic diocese high schools, are shown as their own districts, so you can compare against them, but they are not part of the statewide figure and have no county. A percentile compares a score with that year’s takers of the same test.
Important: the public data does not contain individual student scores, only these group summaries. So no tool can compute a true rank of one student against every other student. What we provide is a well-grounded estimate.
How the percentile is estimated
Kansas publishes the exact scale-score range for each performance level (e.g. for grade 10 Math in 2026, Level 3 “Proficient” is 540-599). Given a score, we:
- identify which performance level the score falls in;
- count everyone in the lower levels as scoring below;
- within the score's own level, spread that level's students along the group's fitted curve (below) rather than evenly across the level's range. Students bunch up toward the middle of the scale, so an even spread would put too many of them out at the far ends of the lowest and highest levels.
That gives the percentile: the estimated share of students in the group who scored at or below the entered score. We checked it against the statewide score percentiles in KSDE’s yearly technical reports (2018, 2019 and 2021 to 2025). For a score in Level 2 or above, it lands within about 2 percentile points of the published value. In Level 1 it can run high: on the 220-380 scale, grade 10 Math scores in Level 1 bunch up just below the Level 2 cut, so a low Math score from 2018 to 2024 can show 7 to 17 points above its true statewide percentile, and a low grade 11 Science score 2 to 11 points above.
About the smooth curve
The bell-like curve on each chart is a truncated-normal distribution fitted so that its area within each performance level matches the level counts, centered on that estimated average score. It's there to visualize the shape of the group's scores. The level counts set the headline percentile (steps above); the curve only decides where inside the student's own level the line falls.
When a group's students all sit in one or two levels, the counts can't say how spread out their scores are, and the fitted curve can come out far too narrow. Those curves are drawn no narrower than one fifth of the statewide spread, which is about the size of the test's own measurement error, and inside the student's level the percentile spreads that level's students evenly instead.
Why estimates are still useful: the student counts in each level are real for each group. The average score shown is estimated from how students split across the levels, and the only other assumption is how scores are distributed inside a level, a small and bounded range. Across a whole school, district, county, or the state, that assumption averages out well, so the comparison ("above/below average here vs. statewide") is reliable even though the exact percentile is approximate.
Cut scores
The score range for each level, by year, is on the score guides. Scores in Level 3 and Level 4 meet Kansas’s standard. Through 2024 the levels were named Limited, Basic, Effective and Excellent; from 2025 they are Limited, Basic, Proficient and Advanced.
- Grade 10 ELA, 2018 to 2024: 220-268, 269-299, 300-333, 334-380. In 2025 Kansas moved to a new 400-700 scale with new cut scores: 400-509, 510-539, 540-587, 588-700 (also used in 2026).
- Grade 10 Math, 2018 to 2021: 220-274, 275-299, 300-332, 333-380. In 2022 Kansas gave a new grade 10 Math test with new cut scores: 220-272, 273-299, 300-328, 329-380 (2022 to 2024). From 2025, on the 400-700 scale: 400-509, 510-539, 540-599, 600-700.
- Grade 11 Science, 2018 to 2024: 220-277, 278-299, 300-327, 328-380. In 2025 KSDE gave a grade 11 Science test but reported no scores, because the test did not have the range of scores needed to set cut scores, so there is no 2025 grade 11 Science result here. Grade 11 Science cut scores on the 400-700 scale were set in June 2026 and approved by the Kansas State Board of Education in August 2026: 400-509, 510-539, 540-573, 574-700.
The ranges are from KSDE’s KAP technical reports, its guide to scale scores and cut scores for families, its 2025-26 guide to score reports, and the State Board’s meeting materials and minutes for the 2025 and 2026 cut scores.
The high-school progress report
The paid progress report puts every high-school test your child took in one table, with the percentile at each level from the school to the state, and charts each subject across the years.
- Lines join only the same kind of comparison. Grade 10 ELA, grade 10 Math and grade 11 Science are each taken by every student in that grade, so they continue the grades 3-8 ELA and Math lines and the grade 5 and 8 Science line.
- Earlier years are compared statewide only. You can add your child’s grades 3-8 scores in the same subjects. The tool doesn’t know which middle school or district they attended, so those years are compared with every student in the state in that grade, not with this high school or its district.
- Compare percentiles, not scores, across 2024 and 2025. Scores before 2025 are on the 220-380 scale and later scores on the 400-700 scale, so the scores themselves can’t be compared, but each year’s percentile can.
- The report opens on the statewide view, the one level with a result for every test.
Limitations to keep in mind
- Percentiles are estimates, not official rankings. Treat a "62nd percentile" as "roughly the top 40%," not an exact standing.
- Small schools have small counts, so their estimates are noisier.
- KSDE does not report a group with fewer than 10 students tested, so some small schools won't appear for some years.
- No statewide test was given in 2020 (COVID). In 2021 about 10% fewer students took each high-school test than in 2019, so 2021 compares a smaller group.
- In 2025 Kansas reset the KAP to a 400-700 scale with new cut scores and level names, so a 2025 or 2026 score can’t be compared with an earlier one. Grade 10 Math also changed test and cut scores in 2022, and grade 11 Science has no 2025 results.
- The Kansas School for the Deaf, the School for the Blind, the Department of Corrections’ high school and two small high schools that have since closed have no county, so they are compared with their district and the state only.
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